Home Sales Up Month-over-Month Yet Inventory Rises: No Bottom in Sight
Sales of existing homes in the U.S. rose in April as foreclosure auctions and cheaper prices spurred bargain hunters, butt those who think this signals a market bottom would be wise to also notice that inventories of unsold homes have gone up, portending more price drops to come.
Sales were still down 3.5 percent compared with a year earlier.
Purchases increased 2.9 percent to an annual rate of 4.68 million from 4.55 million in March according to the National Association of Realtors. The median price was down 15 percent from a year earlier, the second-biggest drop on record.
The average price of a U.S. home fell 7.1 percent in the first quarter, slower than the fourth quarter’s 8.3 percent drop that was the largest on record, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said in Washington.
A pick-up in sales may eventually help trim the glut of unsold homes and eventually stem the slump in property values. But the number of houses on the market climbed 8.8 percent to 3.97 million in April. At the current sales pace, it would take 10.2 months to sell those homes, up from 9.6 months in March.
Distressed properties accounted for 45 percent of all existing-home sales, but this was down a bit from March, the NAR report showed. First-time buyers accounted for about 40 percent of April sales, also down from March.
Foreclosure filings in the U.S. rose to a record in April for the second consecutive month, Realtytrac Inc., a seller of foreclosure data, said May 13, as the jobless rate climbed to its highest in more than a quarter century. Foreclosure filings jumped 32 percent from a year earlier, the group said.
Recent increases in mortgage rates have hurt owners looking to lower monthly payments. Mortgage applications declined 14 percent last week, led by a plunge in refinancing, a report today from the Mortgage Bankers Association also showed. Still, the group’s purchase measure rose 1 percent, indicating rates are still low enough to spur sales.
Lower mortgage costs are also helping to make buying more affordable. Rates on 30-year fixed loans fell to 4.78 percent in April, the lowest level since Freddie Mac began keeping records in 1972. Federal Reserve purchases of mortgage securities have contributed to bringing down rates, economists said.
“The housing market is beginning to stabilize,” Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said in congressional testimony on May 5. “We continue to expect economic activity to bottom out, then to turn up later this year.”
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